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Ecomm.sg : Ecommunicating Investment Trading Ideas
[Renew Ecomm Annual Membership at $80 for continuing members]
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以下是我们每日内容的其中的片段。会员可以用ID和PASSWORD进入网站阅读完整的内容.
The following are excerpts of our past daily updates. Members may login using ID and password to view our full market updates. ------------------------------------------------------------------
Recent Market Update Excerpts:
05-09-2023 (Tue) 8.15am
图表分析 :
吉宝企业 (KEPPEL CORP)
我们很久没有图表分析，主要是空家太多，很多股票上升不久就被打下来，甚至早上上升，闭市就下跌，现在还是这样 。
我在8月21日有提过吉宝企业，当时的股价是6.68，吉宝企业昨天早盘还上涨至7.00元，闭市反而下跌2分至6.92。
从图形看，吉宝企业暂时受阻于6.97。
现价:6.92 支持：6.82－6.63 阻力：6.97－7.17－7.47。
胜科工业 (SEMBCORP INDUSTRIES)
买卖这只股票需要特别小心，因为有大投资银行在买卖，前两天的交易量特别大，星期四是7千6百多万股，昨天是4千3百多股，主要是大宗股票双方自己交易（married deal），没有经过在市场成交，也有可能是左手换右手。胜科工业已纳入摩根士坦利指数，大投资银行多需照比例买进，所以可能先压价买进。现价长期投资可能赚钱，短期的底则较难预测。第一个支持点是5.01。
丰益国际 (WILMAR)
WILMAR星期四出现一根大阳烛，成交量特大，是好现象，但因上升太快，需要调整。
第一资源 (FIRST RESOURCES)
FIRST RESOURCES在1.46和1.58的箱状中波动。冲破1.58就可能上涨。跌破1.46，可能会下跌。
碧桂园（COUNTRY GARDEN)
在设法还债当中，买卖这只股票的风险特别特别大。摩根士坦利早些时候低点有买进这只股票。碧桂园债务1960亿美元，相对恒大的债务小很多。昨天放特大量上涨0.13元。要冒险的在跌低时可注意。在香港挂牌（2007.hk）。现价:1.02支持：0.692 阻力：1.24-1.55。"
(所提供的本文只供参考, 投资买卖，必须審慎，自负责任。版权所有,未经允许,禁止转载。)
    
( All contents provided are for informational purposes only. Access to and the use of the contents are at the user's own risk. You should assess your situation and risk tolerance, and do your own due diligence before making any investment decisions. All losses and costs associated with investing are your responsibility. All rights reserved. This material may not be published, broadcast, or redistributed without permission.)
Chart analysis:
KEPPEL CORP
We have not done many chart analysis for a long time. The main reason is that there are too many short sellers out there. Many stocks were beaten down soon after they rose. Stocks rise in the morning, then fall at the close. This is still the case now.
I mentioned Keppel Corp on August 21, when the stock price was $6.68. Keppel Corp rose to $7.00 in early trading yesterday, but ended 2 cents lower at $6.92 at the close of the market.
From the charts, it is seen that Keppel Corp is temporarily meeting resistance at 6.97.
Current price: 6.92 Support: 6.82-6.63 Resistance: 6.97-7.17-7.47.
SEMBCORP INDUSTRIES
You need to be particularly careful when buying and selling this stock, because there are big investment banks trading this stock. The trading volume in the past two days was particularly large, with more than 76 million shares traded on Thursday, and more than 43 million shares traded yesterday. The huge volume traded was mainly attributable to off-the-market bulk transfer of shares between two parties in what is known as married deals. As Sembcorp Industries has been included in the Morgan Stanley Index, most large investment banks need to buy in proportion to what their funds require, and they may be pushing down the price first before buying in. Long-term investment in this stock at the current price may be profitable, but it is more difficult to predict the bottom and make money in the short term. The first support point is $5.01.
WILMAR
Wilmar has a big white candlestick on Thursday, and the trading volume is very large. This is a good sign, but because this stock has risen too fast, it may need to be consolidated first.
FIRST RESOURCES
First Resources fluctuates in the boxing range of 1.46 and 1.58. A breakout above 1.58 could lead to further gains. A fall below 1.46 may lead to declines.
COUNTRY GARDEN
While Country Garden is attempting to pay off debt, buying and selling this stock is Extremely Very risky. Nevertheless, Morgan Stanley bought this stock at its lows earlier on. Country Garden’s debt is US$196 billion, which is much smaller than Evergrande’s debt. Yesterday, its stock price rose $0.13 in huge volume transacted. Those who are willing to take high-risk bets can watch this stock when its stock price fall. Country Garden is listed in Hong Kong (2007.hk). Current price: 1.02 Support: 0.692 Resistance: 1.24-1.55.
21-08-2023 (Mon) 9.45am
以下是辉立证券首席股票经纪陈奕利先生的股市分析:
图表跟进分析 : 吉宝企业(Keppel Corporation)
从图形看到吉宝企业已跌至双平行线的支持点，也是89天的支持点，可开始注意。（图表请参看ECOMM网站)
吉宝企业(Keppel Corporation) 是一家全球资产管理公司操作员。 吉宝企业于7月27日公布2023年上半年财务业绩净利润达 36 亿新元，主要由上半年出售吉宝岸外与海事（吉宝岸外与海事）的价值达 33 亿新元。2023年，剔除已终止的业务，2023年上半年净利润增至4.45 亿新元，同比增长 3%。 值得注意的是，经常性收入贡献了76%。上半年净利润，派发中期股息每股15仙。而且每 5 股吉宝企业股份即可派发 1 股吉宝房地产投资信托（ Keppel REIT）基金周年特别股息 。在剥离吉宝岸外与海事后，吉宝企业的前景可能不错。
(所提供的本文只供参考, 投资买卖，必须審慎，自负责任。版权所有,未经允许,禁止转载。)
( All contents provided are for informational purposes only. Access to and the use of the contents are at the user's own risk. You should assess your situation and risk tolerance, and do your own due diligence before making any investment decisions. All losses and costs associated with investing are your responsibility. All rights reserved. This material may not be published, broadcast, or redistributed without permission.)
The following is the market analysis by Phillip Securities Principal Remisier Mr Willie Tan Yi Li:
Follow-up chart analysis: Keppel Corp
It can be seen from the chart that Keppel Corp has fallen to the support level of the double parallel lines, which is also the 89-day support level. We may therefore start to watch out for this stock. (See the chart on ECOMM website)
Keppel Corp is a global asset manager and operator. Keppel Corp announced its financial results for the first half of 2023 on July 27, with a net profit of S$3.6 billion, mainly driven by the sale of Keppel Offshore & Marine booking gains worth S$3.3 billion. Excluding the discontinued Offshore and Marine operations, net profit in the first half of 2023 came in at S$445 million, a year-on-year increase of 3%. Recurring revenue notably contributed 76% to the bottom line. An interim dividend of 15 cents per share was distributed, and for every 5 Keppel Corp shares, 1 Keppel REIT fund annual special dividend will be distributed. Following the spinoff of Keppel Offshore & Marine, the outlook for Keppel Corp may be looking good.
03-08-2023 (Thu) 8.00am
以下是辉立证券首席股票经纪陈奕利先生的股市分析:
“美国联邦赤字高达1.4万亿美元，接近去年同期的三倍。美国财政部本周将本季度借款预测上调至1万亿美元，远高于5月份时的7330亿美元。惠誉将美国信用评级从AAA下调至AA+.美财政部长耶伦抨击其武断、且基于过时的数据。惠誉则将美国主权下调归因美国政府的治理水平，在过去20年里一直处于持续恶化的状态，其中也包括财政和债务问题，多在最后一刻才达成协议，政客们争吵不休，损害了市场对美国财政管理的信心。市场仍在评估惠誉下调美国长期信用评级的消息。...
... 惠誉下调美国长期信用评级，全球金融市场都激烈振荡。纳指创2月以来的最大单日跌幅。8月1日ECOMM提到“纳指连续第五个月上涨，小心调整”。8月2日ECOMM再提到“纳指触及长期阻力线，要提防调整”，7月28日ECOMM也有提到“8月的股市的不明朗因素增加，变数也可能增加。"，我个人还维持这种看法，但8月若有较大的調整，我个人也认为可能也是个进场的机会。”
(所提供的本文只供参考, 投资买卖，必须審慎，自负责任。版权所有,未经允许,禁止转载。)
( All contents provided are for informational purposes only. Access to and the use of the contents are at the user's own risk. You should assess your situation and risk tolerance, and do your own due diligence before making any investment decisions. All losses and costs associated with investing are your responsibility. All rights reserved. This material may not be published, broadcast, or redistributed without permission.)
The following is the market analysis by Phillip Securities Principal Remisier Mr Willie Tan Yi Li:
"The U.S. federal deficit is as high as $1.4 trillion, nearly three times that of the same period last year. The Treasury Department this week raised its borrowing forecast for the current quarter to $1 trillion, up from $733 billion in May. Fitch downgraded the U.S. credit rating from AAA to AA+. While U.S. Treasury Secretary Janet Yellen slammed the downgrade as arbitrary and based on outdated data, Fitch attributed the downgrade to the continuous deterioration in the U.S. governance for the past 20 years, resulting in fiscal and debt problems, with agreements mostly reached at the last minute, in the midst of endless bickerings among politicians, which damaged the market confidence in U.S. fiscal management. The market is still evaluating the news of Fitch downgrading the long-term credit rating of the U.S ...
...Fitch downgraded the long-term credit rating of the United States, and the global financial market fluctuated significantly. The Nasdaq posted its biggest one-day drop since February. On August 1, it was mentioned here at ECOMM that "the Nasdaq rose for a fifth consecutive month and we ought to be careful of any downside adjustments". On August 2, it was mentioned again at ECOMM that "The Nasdaq has touched the long-term resistance line. Beware of downside adjustments. " On July 28, it was analysed at ECOMM that "Factors of uncertainty in the stock market have increased in August." Personally, I still maintain this view, but if there is a major downside adjustment in August, I personally think it may also be an opportunity to enter into the market. "
02-08-2023 (Wed) 7.45am
“美国出现预料之中的财政恶化，预计美国整体政府预算赤字将占GDP比重上升至6.3%，惠誉把美国主权信用评级从AAA顶级评级下调至AA+，前景展望稳定。这是不好的消息。
纳指触及长期阻力线，要提防调整。（图表请参看ECOMM网站)"
(所提供的本文只供参考, 投资买卖，必须審慎，自负责任。版权所有,未经允许,禁止转载。)
( All contents provided are for informational purposes only. Access to and the use of the contents are at the user's own risk. You should assess your situation and risk tolerance, and do your own due diligence before making any investment decisions. All losses and costs associated with investing are your responsibility. All rights reserved. This material may not be published, broadcast, or redistributed without permission.)
"The U.S. fiscal situation is deteriorating as expected. The overall government budget deficit in the U.S. is expected to rise to 6.3% of GDP. Fitch downgraded the US sovereign credit rating from the AAA top rating to AA+, with a stable outlook. This is bad news.
The Nasdaq has touched the long-term resistance line. Beware of downside adjustments. (See the chart on ECOMM website)"
28-07-2023 (Fri) 8.30am
以下是辉立证券首席股票经纪陈奕利先生的股市分析:
“美国周四发布的数据都很强劲，可能引发通胀。而美国最高三大监管机构突然发布提高银行资本规模，也不利资本市場，油价又开始上涨，而中美的相互制裁加剧，又影响了全球的供应链。8月的股市的不明朗因素增加，变数也可能增加。"
The following is the market analysis by Phillip Securities Principal Remisier Mr Willie Tan Yi Li:
"U.S. data on Thursday all came in strong and could stoke inflation. The sudden announcement by the top three U.S. regulators to increase the capital requirements of banks is also detrimental to the capital markets. Oil prices have begun to rise again, while the mutual sanctions between China and the U.S. affected the global supply chain. Factors of uncertainty in the stock market have increased in August. "
11-07-2023 (Tue) 8.00am
以下是辉立证券首席股票经纪陈奕利先生的股市分析:
"耶伦访中似乎没得到什么成果，暂时只看到她强调一些无关痛痒的美国不寻求与中国脱钩和加强两国的沟通。尽管美国加大压力，暂时中国已不再和2008年一样出手买入美国国债，解救美国。美国国债以往都需靠外国购买30－40%，美国缺钱，靠卖美债筹钱，现在外国已多缩手，美国国债可能大跌，殖利率势必大涨，国债大跌，这将使美国经济雪上加霜。"
(所提供的本文只供参考, 投资买卖，必须審慎，自负责任。版权所有,未经允许,禁止转载。)
( All contents provided are for informational purposes only. Access to and the use of the contents are at the user's own risk. You should assess your situation and risk tolerance, and do your own due diligence before making any investment decisions. All losses and costs associated with investing are your responsibility. All rights reserved. This material may not be published, broadcast, or redistributed without permission.)
The following is the market analysis by Phillip Securities Principal Remisier Mr Willie Tan Yi Li:
"It seems that Yellen's visit to China did not achieve much. For the time being, she only emphasized that the U.S. does not seek to decouple from China, and that communications between the two countries strengthened. Despite increased pressure from the U.S., China for the time being no longer buys U.S. treasury bonds to rescue the U.S. as it did in 2008. In the past, U.S. treasury bonds had to rely on foreign countries to purchase up to 30-40%. The U.S. is short of money and relies on selling its U.S. debt to raise money. Now that the foreign countries are mostly selling the U.S. debt, the U.S. treasury bonds may plunge further, resulting in a surge in treasury yields. A plunge in U.S. treasury bonds will make it worse for the U.S. economy. "
10-07-2023 (Mon) 8.15am
今年下半年仍存有许多不确定性因素。 在高利率、银行信贷收紧与美联储缩表、以及美债收益率倒挂的情况下，美国经济本来看似会走向衰退。 然而，美国经济却仍保持稳健增长，美国第一季度GDP终值上修至强劲的2.0%增长，而失业率仍维持在3.6%的低位。
金融分析师目前对于美国市场接下来走势的预测有很大的分歧。根据彭博社所统计的数据, Fundstrat 的预测最为乐观（预计标普 500 指数年底将上涨近 10%），而 Piper Sandler 的预测最为悲观 （预计标普 500 指数年底将下跌 27%）。 根据报道, 这二十年以来从未看到,年中预测有如此之大的差距，凸显了下半年的不确定性。
(所提供的本文只供参考, 投资买卖，必须審慎，自负责任。版权所有,未经允许,禁止转载。)
( All contents provided are for informational purposes only. Access to and the use of the contents are at the user's own risk. You should assess your situation and risk tolerance, and do your own due diligence before making any investment decisions. All losses and costs associated with investing are your responsibility. All rights reserved. This material may not be published, broadcast, or redistributed without permission. )
There are still much uncertainties in the second half of this year. Amid the high interest rates, the tightening of bank credits and the Fed balance sheets, and the inversion of U.S. Treasury yields, the US economy was supposed to be heading towards a recession. Yet, the U.S. economy remained resilient with the final estimate of the U.S. Q1 GDP revised upwards to a strong 2.0%, while unemployment rate remained low at 3.6%.
There is now a wide disagreement among financial forecasters on where the U.S. markets are headed next, with the most bullish call from Fundstrat (which sees the S&P 500 rising nearly 10% at the end of the year), and the most bearish call from Piper Sandler (which sees the S&P 500 ending down 27% at the end of the year), according to those compiled by Bloomberg. There has not been that wide a mid-year gulf in two decades, underscoring the uncertainties for the second half of the year.
03-07-2023 (Mon) 8.30am
今年上半年的股市已结束, 美国股指录得强劲的涨幅。 2023年上半年，纳指飙升31.7%，创40年来最佳表现，标普500指数上扬15.9%，创2019年以来最佳表现，而道指则上涨3.8%。
美股今年第一季度和第二季度的优异表现符合我们之前的预期与分析。 去年当股市情绪还偏向熊市的时候,Ecomm Invest在2022年11月7日与2022年11月14日的报告指出：“从历史数据来看，标准普尔 500 指数在 美国中期选举年的第四季度,以及接下来下一年的第一季度的平均表现是整个 4 年总统周期中最强的，平均季度回报分别为 6.1% 和 7.5%。从 1954 年到 2017 年，标准普尔 500 指数在 10 次中有 9 次在中期选举年的第四季度和接下来的两个季度中的涨幅都是正面的。” Ecomm Invest 在 2022 年 12 月 5 日 的报告也提到 ，未来几个月的股市仍可有乐观的期望, 而支撑此观点的理由包括, 美联储官员曾提过将放缓激进加息的步伐，这将有利于股市。
最新的美国通胀与经济数据都非常不错。 美国第一季度GDP终值从1.4%上修至强劲的2.0%，缓解了经济衰退的担忧。 美联储6月28日宣布, 在年度银行压力测试中，美国最大的23家银行全部都通过了压力测试。
美国通胀降温，最新PCE价格指数同比从4.3%下降至3.8%，核心PCE价格指数同比从4.7%下降至4.6%。
尽管如此，今年下半年仍存有许多不确定因素，Ecomm Invest将致力为您提供最新的股市动态与分析。
(所提供的本文只供参考, 投资买卖，必须審慎，自负责任。版权所有,未经允许,禁止转载。)
( All contents provided are for informational purposes only. Access to and the use of the contents are at the user's own risk. You should assess your situation and risk tolerance, and do your own due diligence before making any investment decisions. All losses and costs associated with investing are your responsibility. All rights reserved. This material may not be published, broadcast, or redistributed without permission. )
The first half of the year came to a close, and U.S. stock indices had made strong gains. In the first half of 2023, the Nasdaq surged 31.7% to its best first half in four decades, the S&P 500 soared 15.9% to its best first half since 2019, while the Dow rose 3.8%.
The good performance in U.S. stocks for the first and second quarter of this year was in line with our expectations and analysis. On 7th Nov 2022, and 14th Nov 2022 last year when the market sentiment was still bearish, Ecomm Invest wrote in its market updates "Historically, the fourth quarter of midterm years and first quarter of the following year boast the two strongest returns of the S&P 500 during the entire 4-year presidential cycle, with returns of 6.1% and 7.5% on average, respectively. Between 1954 and 2017, nine times out of 10, the S&P500 index has been positive in the fourth quarter of a midterm election year and the following two quarters. " On 5th Dec 2022, Ecomm Invest mentioned that there are reasons for market optimism in the months ahead such as "a less aggressive rate hike trajectory".
Recent U.S. inflation and economic data had also been positive. The final estimate of U.S. Q1 GDP showed an upward revision from 1.4% to a strong 2.0%, alleviating fears of a U.S. recession. In the Federal Reserve’s annual banking stress test, it was announced on 28 June that all 23 of the largest U.S. banks passed the stress test.
U.S. inflation cooled with the latest PCE price index falling from 4.3% to 3.8% yoy, and the core PCE price index softening from 4.7% to 4.6% yoy.
Nevertheless, there will be uncertainties in the second half of this year, and Ecomm Invest is committed to bringing you the latest market updates and analysis.
14-06-2023 (Wed) 8.00am
以下是辉立证券首席股票经纪陈奕利先生的股市分析:
“泰国酿酒（THAI BEVERAGE）在大跌至0.54后，得到长期支持线的支持，形成双底，就开始上升。现价: 0.575 止损：0.555 目标：0.615－0.64（图表请参看ECOMM网站)"
(所提供的本文只供参考, 投资买卖，必须審慎，自负责任。版权所有,未经允许,禁止转载。)
( All contents provided are for informational purposes only. Access to and the use of the contents are at the user's own risk. You should assess your situation and risk tolerance, and do your own due diligence before making any investment decisions. All losses and costs associated with investing are your responsibility. All rights reserved. This material may not be published, broadcast, or redistributed without permission.)
The following is the market analysis by Phillip Securities Principal Remisier Mr Willie Tan Yi Li:
"After THAI BEVERAGE fell to 0.54, it was supported by the long-term support line. A double bottom was formed, and its share pice began to rise. Current price: 0.575 Stop loss: 0.555 Target: 0.615－0.64 (see chart on ECOMM website)"
13-06-2023 (Tue) 8.00am
以下是辉立证券首席股票经纪陈奕利先生的股市分析:
“美国6月股市应会继续上涨，海指即將跟随，而且可能会全面上涨，我们维持5月时的预测看法，即6月股市会上涨，海指现在的STOCHASTIC,MACD,都呈现上升的趋势，RSI也可能出现双底，可开始注意。（图表请参看ECOMM网站)。"
(所提供的本文只供参考, 投资买卖，必须審慎，自负责任。版权所有,未经允许,禁止转载。)
( All contents provided are for informational purposes only. Access to and the use of the contents are at the user's own risk. You should assess your situation and risk tolerance, and do your own due diligence before making any investment decisions. All losses and costs associated with investing are your responsibility. All rights reserved. This material may not be published, broadcast, or redistributed without permission.)
The following is the market analysis by Phillip Securities Principal Remisier Mr Willie Tan Yi Li:
"The U.S. stock market should continue to rise in June, and the STI is about to follow suit, and the rally may be a broadbased one. We maintain our forecast in May that the stock market will rise in June. The STOCHASTIC and MACD of the STI are showing an upward trend, and a double bottom may also appear in the RSI. We may start to keep a lookout. (See the chart on the ECOMM website)"
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10-06-2023 (Sat) 9.30am
纳指表现优异,年初至今的涨幅高达 26.7% ，扭转了 2022 年 34%的跌幅。通胀趋势如我们预期的下降，加上不错的科技企业财报,以及人工智能股的推动，提振以科技股为主的纳指再创今年的新高。 美国中期选举过后,在新一年的头两个季度,美股从历史数据来看一般是上扬的, Ecomm 去年在股市悲观情绪时已指出这一点。
(所提供的本文只供参考, 投资买卖，必须審慎，自负责任。版权所有,未经允许,禁止转载。)
( All contents provided are for informational purposes only. Access to and the use of the contents are at the user's own risk. You should assess your situation and risk tolerance, and do your own due diligence before making any investment decisions. All losses and costs associated with investing are your responsibility. All rights reserved. This material may not be published, broadcast, or redistributed without permission.
Nasdaq has also chalked up impressive year-to-date gains of 26.7%, reversing the 34% decline in 2022. A declining inflation trend as we had expected, coupled with better-than-expected tech earnings, and AI plays, had propelled the tech-heavy Nasdaq to new highs this year. The first 2 quarters of the year following the U.S. mid-term elections had historically mostly returned positive gains as Ecomm had pointed out last year when the market was in a bearish mood.
27-03-2023 (Mon) 7.51am
个别股图表跟进分析 （图表请参看ECOMM网站)
AEM周线已切上月线。 STOCHASTIC、MACD、RSI都都呈上升的趋势，可开始注意。
现价:2.95 止损：2.81 阻力：3.39－3.64。
Chart analysis of individual stock
The AEM weekly line has cut above the monthly line. STOCHASTIC, MACD, and RSI are all showing an upward trend, so we may start paying attention to this stock. Current price: 2.95 Stop loss: 2.81 Resistance: 3.39-3.64. "
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10-01-2023 (Tue) 8.00am
以下是辉立证券首席股票经纪陈奕利先生的股市分析:
"投资者趁低买进特斯拉，推动纳指上涨。
市场关注美国12月消费者价格指数与银行财报。本周投资者密切关注周四的12月消费者价格指数（CPI）报告，也注意摩根大通、花旗集团和富国银行在周五将公布的财报。
Tesla（特斯拉）已触及双平行线的较强的支持线，可能底部已出现(图表请参看ECOMM网站)。汽车股可开始注意。"
(Ecomm.sg提供的本文只供参考, 投资买卖，必须審慎，自负责任。版权所有,未经允许,禁止转载。)
( All contents provided by Ecomm.sg are for informational purposes only. Access to and the use of the contents are at the user's own risk. You should assess your situation and risk tolerance, and do your own due diligence before making any investment decisions. All losses and costs associated with investing are your responsibility. All rights reserved. This material may not be published, broadcast, or redistributed without permission.)
The following is the market analysis by Phillip Securities Principal Remisier Mr Willie Tan Yi Li:
"Investors bought in Tesla on a bargain hunting basis, pushing the Nasdaq index higher.
The market will focus on the U.S. inflation data, and the upcoming bank earnings. Investors this week will be watching closely this Thursday's U.S. December Consumer Price Index (CPI) report, as well as earnings reports from JPMorgan Chase, Citigroup and Wells Fargo on Friday.
Tesla has touched a strong support of the double parallel channel, and the bottom may have possibly emerged (see the chart on ECOMM website). We may start to watch out for Auto stocks. "
05-12-2022 (Mon) 11.30am
以下是陈奕利先生的图表技术分析（请上Ecomm网站参看图表）:
先进微器件 Advanced Micro Devices (Nasdaq:AMD)
已突破长期A－B的阻力线。现正触及半年线的阻力，如能突破，可能会上试79.23－85.68－93.38。 止损： 71.60
美光科技 Micron Technology (Nasdaq:MU)
触及短期A－B的支持线即反弹。
止损：52.61－51.91 目标：64.44－75.41
英伟达 Nvidia (Nasdaq:NVDA)
如能突破长期A－B的阻力线,就可能上试191.54。
止损：151.20
(Ecomm.sg提供的本文只供参考, 投资买卖，必须審慎，自负责任。版权所有,未经允许,禁止转载。)
  
( All contents provided by Ecomm.sg are for informational purposes only. Access to and the use of the contents are at the user's own risk. You should assess your situation and risk tolerance, and do your own due diligence before making any investment decisions. All losses and costs associated with investing are your responsibility. All rights reserved. This material may not be published, broadcast, or redistributed without permission.)
Here is the technical chart analysis by Mr Tan Yi Li
Advanced Micro Devices (Nasdaq:AMD)
Has already broken through the A-B resistance level. It has now touched the resistance of the half-year line, and if can break through this resistance, it may test the upside at 79.23－85.68－93.38. Stop Loss: 71.60
Micron Technology (Nasdaq: MU)
It will rebound when it touches the short-term A-B support line. Stop Loss：52.61－51.91 Target: 64.44－75.41
Nvidia (Nasdaq:NVDA)
If it is able to break above the long-term A-B resistance level, it may test the upside at 191.54。
Stop Loss：151.20
04-07-2022 (Mon) 9.00am
高通胀和经济衰退风险仍然是市场的担忧...
在 70 年代末和 1980 年代初期间，全球主要经济体一直在与 10% 以上的高通胀抗战，同期间也得应对好几次的经济衰退。高通胀持续好几年,直到保罗·沃尔克（Paul Volcker）出任美联储主席，果断采取大举加息至20%的举措后，多年的高通胀才终于结束，高失业率也随之回落 。大家在 1980 年代初的大通胀年中所吸取的教训是，当一个经济体同时面临高通胀和经济衰退（称为滞胀）时，首先应当解决的是高通胀问题，解决了高通胀以后,高失业率问题就会迎刃而解。因此，投资者不应期望, 经济增长如果一旦放缓时，美联储会对加息走软。正如Ecomm 之前提到的，只要通胀数字仍在非常高位的水平，美联储无论如何应该还是会继续加息的。
因此，那些目前正在偿还浮动利率房贷(variable home loan)的, 要有所准备, 利息可继续上升，直到全球高通胀问题得以控制为止。
(Ecomm.sg提供的本文只供参考, 投资买卖，必须審慎，自负责任。版权所有,未经允许,禁止转载。)
( All contents provided by Ecomm.sg are for informational purposes only. Access to and the use of the contents are at the user's own risk. You should assess your situation and risk tolerance, and do your own due diligence before making any investment decisions. All losses and costs associated with investing are your responsibility. All rights reserved. This material may not be published, broadcast, or redistributed without permission.)
High inflation and recession risks remain as the market concerns of the day...
In the late 1970s and early 1980s, the major global economies had been battling persistent high inflation levels of above 10% for years, and recessions had taken place as well. It was only when Paul Volcker became the Fed chairman and took the decisive action of aggressively raising interest rates to as high as 20% that the years of high inflation finally came to an end, and a decline in high unemployment rate followed. The lesson learnt during the great inflation years in the early 1980s is that when faced with both high inflation and recession (a phenomenon known as stagflation), one should resolve the high inflation problem first, and the coming down of high unemployment numbers will follow. Therefore, investors should not have the expectation that should economic growth declines, the Fed will go soft on interest rate hikes. As mentioned before, as long as the inflation numbers remain very high, the interest rate hikes will continue on.
As such, those of us who are currently on variable home loan packages ought to be prepared to pay higher home loan interests in the months ahead until the global high inflation problem comes under control.
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